Behind the veil of extreme event attribution
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Behind the Veil of Ignorance∗
This paper uses theory and experiments to study situations in which individuals make choices for themselves and for others in situations intended to resemble what Rawls and Harsanyi would describe as “behind the veil of ignorance.” Theory suggests a (surprisingly overlooked) decomposition of choices behind the veil of ignorance into choices in more familiar altruistic and risk environments. Our...
متن کاملAnother peep behind the veil.
Harris argues that if QALYs are used only 50% of the population will be eligible for survival, whereas if random methods of allocation are used 100% will be eligible. We argue that this involves an equivocation in the use of "eligible", and provides no support for the random method. There is no advantage in having a 100% chance of being "eligible" for survival behind a veil of ignorance if you ...
متن کاملUncertainty behind the Veil of Ignorance
This article argues that the decision problem in the original position should be characterized as a decision problem under uncertainty even when it is assumed that the denizens of the original position know that they have an equal chance of ending up in any given individual’s place. It supports this claim by arguing that (a) the continuity axiom of decision theory does not hold between all of t...
متن کاملDebate Another peep behind the veil
Harris argues that ifQALYs are used only 50% of the population will be eligible for survival, whereas if random methods of allocation are used 100% will be eligible. We argue that this involves an equivocation in the use of "eligible", and provides no support for the random method. There is no advantage in having a 100% chance of being "eligible" for survival behind a veil of ignorance ifyou st...
متن کاملA Common Framework for Approaches to Extreme Event Attribution
The extent to which a given extreme weather or climate event is attributable to anthropogenic climate change is a question of considerable public interest. From a scientific perspective, the question can be framed in various ways, and the answer depends very much on the framing. One such framing is a risk-based approach, which answers the question probabilistically, in terms of a change in like...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Climatic Change
سال: 2018
ISSN: 0165-0009,1573-1480
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2252-9